Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 2.971326 3.291247 3.637075 4.039651 4.496608 5.000554 5.600269
2025-05-18 2.506830 2.936591 3.433391 4.053811 4.812942 5.718045 6.888584
2025-05-25 2.148612 2.618725 3.188878 3.938356 4.908117 6.135032 7.828048
2025-06-01 1.918474 2.413400 3.037262 3.892405 5.051409 6.593043 8.842426
2025-06-08 1.748218 2.258642 2.923437 3.868047 5.201035 7.054243 9.897250
2025-06-15 1.664556 2.204967 2.930865 3.998269 5.564362 7.837883 11.503896
2025-06-22 1.546960 2.092151 2.843563 3.980888 5.705904 8.305378 12.684038
2025-06-29 1.439267 1.982697 2.749077 3.939625 5.800676 8.702980 13.794568
2025-07-06 1.302361 1.820447 2.564530 3.744760 5.635155 8.666741 14.166389
2025-07-13 1.238579 1.759652 2.523449 3.763698 5.805913 9.187506 15.565099
2025-07-20 1.194236 1.723956 2.516207 3.832994 6.062142 9.874788 17.357289
2025-07-27 1.151842 1.687773 2.504595 3.892476 6.304862 10.561599 19.246111
2025-08-03 1.105288 1.643360 2.478773 3.929476 6.518228 11.231557 21.234677
2025-08-10 1.060057 1.598049 2.448179 3.955517 6.714430 11.893210 23.320248
2025-08-17 0.991891 1.511629 2.344397 3.845562 6.649415 12.043506 24.328857
2025-08-24 0.942219 1.452160 2.281083 3.801290 6.701711 12.428458 25.920493
2025-08-31 0.900364 1.403019 2.231742 3.777681 6.790199 12.895172 27.779934
2025-09-07 0.887517 1.401398 2.263181 3.904280 7.185719 14.052090 31.523251
2025-09-14 0.851798 1.358782 2.220284 3.887387 7.288855 14.588922 33.808981
2025-09-21 0.814987 1.312256 2.167535 3.847278 7.339376 15.013427 35.880407
2025-09-28 0.758079 1.227997 2.042579 3.657831 7.057128 14.644051 35.718721
2025-10-05 0.735518 1.203010 2.023626 3.676245 7.223718 15.344212 38.706184
2025-10-12 0.721176 1.191784 2.029068 3.743619 7.503851 16.352566 42.815546